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0:31
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ScrollFuel
The Medical Test Paradox (Bayes' Theorem)
This looks like an impossible mathematical error, but it is pure conditional probability! 🤯 Known as Bayes' Theorem (and the False Positive Paradox), human intuition consistently fails when evaluating conditional probabilities because we ignore the base rate (how rare the condition actually is). Even with a 99% accurate test, a positive ...
1.7K views
3 weeks ago
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